Dr. Roto’s Visionary DFS Plays for Week 4 (Using Draft Kings Pricing)
Deshaun Watson (5100)—I am going heavy on Watson this week. I love his matchup and moreover, I love the fact that he can score a rushing TD any given Sunday. His floor is about 14 points; his ceiling could be in the high 20’s.
Tyrod Taylor (5300)—For some reason I see this game as a letdown game for the Falcons. They are coming off a big win against the Lions and next week is their BYE week. Buffalo comes to town in a game that the Falcons are expected to win. When that happens, the NFL always surprises you and something else happens. That something else could be Tyrod throwing the ball to McCoy repeatedly and using his legs to make big plays downfield.
Eli Manning (5700)—The Bucs are without David, Alexander, Ward, and possibly McCoy this week. With those guys out last week, Case Keenum fileted their defense. We might see a repeat of that with Eli, OBJ, and Marshall this week.
Philip Rivers (6300)—The Chargers have been bad in the first three weeks of the season and something needs to change quickly. Rivers has always been known as a fast starter, so it has been surprising that he has been mediocre this year. The Eagles are coming off a huge win at home and now they need to fly out West to play a team that has sucked. Seems like the perfect recipe to go contrarian.
Tom Brady (8000)—Brady is going to have to score about 25 DK points to make him worth his salary, but if anyone can do it, it’s Brady. I might run a team with a naked Brady since I don’t want to overpay for Gronk, Cooks, or Hogan.
Ezekiel Elliott (8200)—I will be the most shocked expert on the planet if Zeke does not score this week. The Cardinals did a good job of forcing Dak to beat them in Week 3, but Dallas wants to get back to their ground game and limiting Dak’s throws if possible. Zeke gets 100+ yards and 1-2 TDs.
Dalvin Cook (6500)—The Lions play solid run defense, but I am thinking that Cook will be used primarily as a pass catcher out of the backfield this week. I can see him getting six or seven catches for about 60-80 yards to go along with another 50 or so on the ground. It should make for a 20 point week from him.
Chris Carson (4900)—With C.J. Prosise declared out already and Eddie Lacy chowing down at the Pike Street Golden Corral, I foresee Carson getting a boatload of carries in this game. Seattle usually dominates games at home with a stifling defense and a solid running attack. Look for Carson to get 100+ yards on the ground on Sunday night.
Buck Allen (4700)—The only word I have for Buck last week rhymes with his name. That said, I have a basic DFS tenet to go back to players who I liked last week who screwed me unexpectedly. Allen fits that tenet to a tee and I will be using him at home against the Steelers.
Bilal Powell (4600)—Maybe now that Matt Forte is out for the week the Jets will come to their senses and give Powell the ball 20+ times against Jacksonville. I don’t ever trust the Jets, so I will use Powell in GPP play and not so much in cash games.
A.J. Green (8600)—Bill Lazor, the Bengals new OC, made sure that QB Andy Dalton featured Green on virtually every pass play last week. I would imagine that they will build on that against the Browns who don’t have any CB who can cover Green one on one.
DeAndre Hopkins (6400)—Watson looks Hopkins’ way on every passing down. This means that Hopkins should get another 10-12 targets minimum this week. The Titans biggest weakness is in their secondary where Logan Ryan will get the shot to cover Hopkins. This is a huge mismatch in Hopkins’ favor. Start him with confidence.
Rishard Matthews (4900)—With Corey Davis already ruled out for this week and Eric Decker looking a bit slow recovering from his off-season injury, Matthews might be the best option to have in Tennessee’s offense. Ideally, the Titans want to control the game with their running attack, but if they fall behind early they will have to air it out and Matthews is the moist dynamic player they have.
Jordan Matthews (3900)—If you decide that you agree with me and like Tyrod as a sneaky start, then look at Matthews as a possible hookup. Matthews has underperformed thus far and has been a Fantasy disappointment, but at this price point, I am willing to take a shot at his scoring about 12 points which would be an easy 3x.
Mike Wallace (3500)—REVENGE narrative here. Wallace and the entire Ravens offense has been bad, but I think that he steps up and makes a big play (50 yard TD) this week.
Kyle Rudolph (4100)—The Lions are always bad vs. the TE and Rudolph is normally a great red zone target. Put the two together and you get my favorite TE play in Week 4.
Hunter Henry (3500)—Goose egg in Week 1. 15 Points in Week 2. Goose egg in Week 3. 15 points in Week 4???
Ryan Griffin (3500)—I like his matchup and his ability to give me about 10-12 points a week at that price point.
Ed Dickson (2800)—Panthers HC Ron Rivera scolded his offensive coordinator for not getting Dickson more involved last week. I expect that to change on Sunday and Dickson should be in the 5 for 50 range. I know he might only be a 10-12 point player, but at 2800 he allows me to get some of my more expensive players into my lineup.
Austin Seferian-Jenkins (3000)—ASJ was targeted heavily in his first game back by Josh McCown. The Jaguars have sensational CBs who should totally shut down the Jets wide receivers, leaving ASJ open in the middle of the field for big gains.