Friday night with 9 games on the slate starting at 7pm.
Some players that are listed as questionable- Luka Doncic, Miles Turner, Karl-Anthony Towns, Jarren Jackson Jr.
This chart shows the breakdown of each game with team totals, spread, pace + pace difference. It also shows the opponents DvP. Good starting point to show which teams are in good spots for tonight’s game. The Grizzlies have the largest bump in pace and get a decent matchup. Solid value plays from the Grizzlies. The Pistons get the next highest pace bump along with one of the best matchups on the board tonight.
Rubio has been solid over the past 3 games playing around 30 minutes and scoring above 30 FPs in that time-frame. The pace up spot and matchup is what I am targeting as the Jazz get a nice bump in pace +4.1 and Rubio is in an excellent spot vs the Thunder as they rank last over the last 4 games vs PGs. This could be a 40 + FP game for Rubio tonight. Should come in at around 5-7% ownership.
Teague’s last 2 games 52 and 42 and his price is still under 6k. He should have no problem with the Knicks tonight. Bump if KAT sits out.
Collison has been very solid as of late posting 26 or more FPs in his last 8 games. Great spot for him and the Pacers tonight as the face the Pelicans who run at a fast pace and dont play any defense.
Risk/reward play that should go under the radar tonight. Murray continues to play over 30 minutes a game, but his shot have been down a bit. I expect him to get some open looks against the Mavericks tonight who rank 27th vs opposing PGs over the past 4 games.
Playing solid minutes and gets and excellent matchup.
Punt play vs the Hawks who run fast and do not play much defense. Worth a look at only 3.3K on DK.
DeRozan played well in this matchup last time out posting a triple/double.
Fournier plays solid minutes and taking double digit shot attempts. Gets a good matchup tonight,
Bazemore is starting tonight and should see some additional minutes. Pistons have been getting crushed by wings. Just do it.
Nice pace up spot and very good matchup.
Playing extended minutes and put up 20 or more FPs in 4 of his last 5 games.
Very consistent and under priced right now on DK at only 5.4K. 46 & 34 FPs in last 2 games.
Only if KAT sits out.
Williams is still playing over 30 minutes a game.
Excellent spot for both of the Piston bigs. 50 or more FPs in last 2 games.
Dario Saric and Taj Gibson
KAT has been ruled out and both of these players should see extra run.
Hard to pass up on Millsap at this price, especially in this matchup. 4.6k on DK? Last 2 games 52 & 30 FPs.
Plays limited minutes, but gets the job done every night. Good spot for him tonight in this pace up game.
Drummond has been very consistent over the last 5 games posting 50 or more FPs. This is a crush spot for him tonight.
Miles Turner has just been ruled out, so we can expect Sabonis to log solid minute tonight. He gets an excellent matchup tonight as the Pelicans have allowed the 2nd most FPs to opposing centers. Sabonis has averaged 1.32 FPPM this yeas and could see close to 30 minutes tonight.
Zeller has just been solid since returning from injury. He has shown a fairly safe floor and upside of 44 in the perfect matchup. Tonight he gets close to the perfect matchup in this pace up spot against a team ranked 28th over the last 4 games. The Wizards run at a very fast pace and this should open up more opportunities for rebounds and points.
Noah has played well as of late posting 20, 23 and 42 FPS over his last 3 games. Valancuinas has been ruled out and Jarren Jackson is listed as questionable. This could open up a lot of minutes for Noah tonight who has averaged 1.15 FPPM. Add in the excellent matchup and pace up spot and he could 20/20.
Punt play. O’Quinn has posted 1.3 FPPM this year and should see around 15 minutes tonight. 1.3×15=19.5 and not a bad value at only 3k on DK. Upisde is close to 25 though.
Sample lineups DK
Mid/low range players with room for stud
This leaves 7.3k left per player.
This leaves 4.4k per player.