Bauer – always like Bauer at home where he’s holding hitters to just a .208 average, while striking them at around 30%. Hes struck out 8 or more in 8 straight games, so I fully expect a double digit strikeout outing. (Risk factor 4)
Mikolas – I usually like him at home more, but with Chicago putting their best hitter on the shelf for 10 days he should do well. He’s really dominated righties this year, holding them to just a .168 average. (Risk factor 5)
Anderson – over his last 3 games at home, he’s averaged around 7 strikeouts and was absolutely dominant in his last home start. 22.5% k rate at home and just a 30% hard contact. (Risk factor 6)
De Los Santos – we don’t know much about this kid, but in the minors he’s posted a 1.89 era, while striking out 87 in 95 innings pitched. New York has been awful this year, so at $5,500 on FanDuel it seems like a steal. (Risk factor 5)
Philly – Gagnon has given up 17 homers in 96 innings pitched In the minors. He’ll be out by the 3rd and philly will tack on more off their bad pen.
St Louis – Covey has given up 22 runs in his last 4 starts. Carp lead off bomb incoming.
Toronto lefties – Teheran has had his struggles with lefties which includes a 41% hard contact at home. Smoak is due for a double dong game.
Dodgers – Lauer has given up 9 bombs to righties and a .321 average. Love the righties today, but don’t forget about Muncy who’s hit 5 homers and .292 off LHP.
Atlanta lefties – Stroman looked way off in his last start and goes into Atlanta facing some tough lefties. He’s given up a 43.1% hard contact and .301 average to the split.