April 10, 2018 at 9:30 am #39160
Well…..I thought I had this done and the website decided to kick me out before posting.. and it was a good one too. So, here we go again!
We move on to Harbour Town this week. A course that is tight and has small greens. The number of guys above $10,000 are limited this week to DJ, Casey, Kuchar and Leishman. Of those, I like Casey and Kuchar the most, but the other two cannot be ignored either. DJ can easily make his way around this course without a driver, but I doubt he will……that’s just not DJ! He is one of the most accurate long hitters with a driver on tour, but for some reason, the DJ “mystique” hasn’t seemed to be there the last few weeks.
Core Plays: Casey, Kuchar, Webb Simpson, Charley Hoffman and Luke List. (I won’t fault anyone on DJ or Leishman either but I’m considering fading DJ)
Guys that seem to love this course: Luke Donald, Russell Knox, Scott Piercy (2/3 cuts) and Brice Garnett (2/2 cuts)
Sub $10K to $7K (not already mentioned): Brian Harman (Driving Accuracy and Greens in Reg (GIR)), Poulter, Cameron Smith, Kisner, DeChambeau (the Professor can think his way around this tight track), Na, An, Ollie, Charles Howell, Bud Cauley and Jason Dufner.
Higher End – Likely not Chalk: Cantlay ($9100), Hatton ($8800), Hadwin ($8100), Zach Johnson ($7900), Xander ($7700) and Snedeker ($7400). I kind of like ZJ and Sneds here because neither one is an extremely big hitter (although they are definitely “long enough”) but they usually stay out of the wood, water and sand. The others are a little more volatile and a Masters hangover could weigh on that volatility.
Sub $7K: Kelly Kraft, Kevin Tway, Van Aswegan (love to say the name), Tom Hoge (game’s been off a little lately but was playing well early in the year).
Longshot(s): Davis Love, Dru Love, Chris Kirk, and Austin Cook.
April 11, 2018 at 3:55 pm #39330
Guys I Like: Kuchar, Cameron Smith, Webb Simpson, Charley Hoffman, Zach Johnson and Brian Harman
Fades: DJ (not completely, but mostly)
Probably Should Fades (“PSF”): Casey & Leishman. I know there is a likelihood of a let down after something as big as the Masters, but both of these guys are playing well. If they make the cut, I’ll feel better about my gut. If not, you’ve been warned!
Under the Radar Top 20s: James Hahn, Ollie Schniederjans, Xander Schauffle, & Bryan Gay
Under the Radar Top 10s: Russell Knox, Molinari, Charles Howell III, Bryson DeChambeau & Luke List
Long Shots: William McGirt, Ian Poulter (yes, I know, I like him every week….he never “mails it in”), & Luke Donald (he plays well here).
April 13, 2018 at 8:39 am #39512
Hope everyone had a good first round!
Looks like both DK and FD are getting into the “extra contest” pools. DK is now offering Individual Round Contests. Round 2 and Round 3 Contests DO NOT offer points for places, but the Round 4 Contest does (at least it did last week at the Masters). FD is offering Weekend Golf – like DK was before last week and still may, it’s just not up on the site as of 8:00 a.m.
I know everyone has their opinions on it and I recall that the “single game” Contests was one of the issues they had when the controversy began a year or two ago with the State legal issues. The argument was: Does the “single game” concept make it more of a game of chance rather that a game of skill? Personally I think it does, but I also am not a fan of these contests. Now, I will agree that, in PGA, there are a lot more players to pick from and your not “position defined” so the variety of lineups is more likely. Most of the one game events – NBA, MLB, NFL – all usually result in several people having the exact same lineup.
I won’t offer advice on these contests because, quite frankly, it’s a pure guess. Yes, the guy who’s hot is a good play but anyone who has played golf knows that Friday can be great and on Saturday you’ll look like you’ve never picked up a club.
The only intrigue that I see in any of these games is when your 4-day lineups have crapped the bed and you have no chance, the single round or weekend rounds contests give you the opportunity to have a sweat and have more reason to watch.
I’m not telling anyone not to play. Just don’t expect advice for those contests at this time because I am yet to see any way to pick a lineup other than guessing. Hell, the guy that barely makes the cut can shoot (-5) on Saturday which would be a good score for the Saturday contest, but still have him in the bottom half of the tournament. To predict that turnaround is like throwing darts wearing a blindfold into a 30 mph crosswind.
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